BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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NC State

Class: 1 Class Rank: 26 Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (10-10) Overall: (20-11) Overall Strength =   62.32

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    72.66  82  45    1 160 ( 21-  8) Qunnipiac               8.94 *   28.06                      
  2 11-10-2022 Home    W    60.35  89  55    1 274 (  9- 20) Elon                   -3.37 *   37.37                      
  3 11-13-2022 Home    W    69.25  86  38    1 307 ( 11- 18) Mt St Mary's            5.53 *   42.47                      
  4 11-16-2022 Home    W    81.89  96  48    1 179 ( 11- 18) Charlotte              18.18 *   29.82                      
  5 11-20-2022 Away    L    53.54  69  91    1   2 ( 28-  5) Connecticut           -10.18    -11.82                      
  6 11-24-2022 Neutral W    55.51  82  73    1  96 ( 12- 19) Vanderbilt             -8.20     17.20                      
  7 11-25-2022 Neutral W    91.53  78  40    1  54 ( 19- 10) West Virginia          27.81     10.19                      
  8 12-01-2022 Away    W    86.52  94  81    1   6 ( 26-  6) Iowa                   22.80     -9.80                      
  9 12-05-2022 Away    W    73.34  65  54    1  29 ( 21- 11) Georgia                 9.62      1.38                      
 10 12-11-2022 Home    W    64.31  65  57    1  34 ( 26-  5) South Florida           0.59      7.41                      
 11 12-15-2022 Home    W    70.75  81  47    1 151 ( 14- 16) Davidson                7.03 *   26.97                      
 12 12-18-2022 Home    W *  69.87  77  59    1  62 ( 17- 15) Clemson                 6.15     11.85                      
 13 12-29-2022 Home    L *  50.11  58  72    1  12 ( 25-  6) Duke                  -13.61     -0.39                      
 14 01-01-2023 Away    W *  59.48  56  54    1  49 ( 18- 12) Syracuse               -4.23      6.23                      
 15 01-05-2023 Home    L *  38.93  71  79    1  81 ( 16- 17) Boston College        -24.79     16.79                      
 16 01-08-2023 Home    W *  78.08  87  62    1  59 ( 15- 15) Virginia               14.36     10.64                      
 17 01-12-2023 Away    L *  47.68  72  91    1  21 ( 23-  9) Florida St            -16.04     -2.96                      
 18 01-15-2023 Away    L *  56.65  47  56    1  19 ( 21- 10) North Carolina         -7.06     -1.94                      
 19 01-19-2023 Home    W *  65.21  71  61    1  41 ( 19- 12) Miami FL                1.49      8.51                      
 20 01-22-2023 Away    W *  77.80  63  51    1  25 ( 23- 11) Louisville             14.08     -2.08                      
 21 01-29-2023 Home    W *  70.22  69  65    1   7 ( 25-  5) Notre Dame              6.50     -2.50                      
 22 02-02-2023 Away    L *  47.90  62  68    1  72 ( 13- 17) Georgia Tech          -15.82      9.82                      
 23 02-06-2023 Home    L *  52.64  61  73    1   9 ( 27-  4) Virginia Tech         -11.07     -0.93                      
 24 02-09-2023 Away    W *  63.37  51  42    1  68 ( 16- 16) Wake Forest            -0.35      9.35                      
 25 02-12-2023 Away    L *  46.20  59  71    1  59 ( 15- 15) Virginia              -17.52      5.52                      
 26 02-16-2023 Home    W *  71.53  77  66 1  1  19 ( 21- 10) North Carolina          7.81      3.19                      
 27 02-19-2023 Away    L *  56.76  62  75    1   9 ( 27-  4) Virginia Tech          -6.95     -6.05                      
 28 02-23-2023 Away    L *  54.23  62  77    1  12 ( 25-  6) Duke                   -9.49     -5.51                      
 29 02-26-2023 Home    W *  48.77  68  63    1 100 ( 10- 20) Pittsburgh            -14.94     19.94                      
 30 03-02-2023 Home    W *  77.36  83  58    1  49 ( 18- 12) Syracuse               13.65     11.35                      
 31 03-03-2023 Neutral L *  62.78  60  66    1   7 ( 25-  5) Notre Dame             -0.94     -5.06                      
      Averages              63.72  71.1 62.5

Best game:   91.53 = 38 point win over West Virginia
Worst game:  38.93 = 8 point loss to Boston College
Team stdev:  12.86